Will Edmonton home prices crash?
Quick Answer
Short answer: Unlikely—most forecasts call for flat to modest growth after 2024's rate shock.
Detailed Explanation
Big-bank outlooks (TD, RBC) project Edmonton will post a 1–3% price rise for 2025–26, cushioned by in-migration and a below-average debt-service burden. Even the bearish CMHC downside scenario predicts at worst a 6% dip—far from a "crash."
- Net interprovincial migration 2024: +14,600 (StatCan)
- Rental-vacancy rate 2025: 2.3%—tightest since 2014
- Jobless rate Apr 2025: 5.6% (Alberta Labour)
Disclaimer: This page is for general information only and does not constitute legal, financial, or real estate advice. Always verify details with a licensed Alberta REALTOR®, mortgage professional, or lawyer before making decisions. Buy in Edmonton assumes no liability for actions taken based on this content.
Tim Grover, RE/MAX Excellence • 780-288-5144 • 5607 199 Street NW, Edmonton, AB
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